Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 16.715331 18.985021 21.457640 24.352699 27.651366 31.295137 35.628633
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 13.935776 16.996403 20.579699 25.090041 30.624270 37.204533 45.639735
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.521645 14.980660 19.301595 25.108204 32.728348 42.417215 55.719749
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.265368 12.784619 17.454024 24.124462 33.447512 46.073293 64.569512
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.518694 10.971054 15.819474 23.158008 34.046864 49.705741 74.112814
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.332319 9.744041 14.801538 22.891321 35.602663 54.968308 87.014457
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.469951 8.853428 14.134191 23.039403 37.822468 61.629997 103.370622
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.710595 7.997723 13.384634 22.936712 39.646272 68.022751 120.610754
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.232430 7.524077 13.177977 23.702120 43.070700 77.703150 145.451792
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.726594 6.918327 12.649276 23.818565 45.389162 85.898848 169.346045
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.195301 6.178115 11.761751 23.125364 46.092680 91.275969 189.030719
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.795157 5.619096 11.120855 22.794019 47.445009 98.167304 213.252917
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.542355 5.319657 10.957732 23.445544 51.041219 110.528259 252.348886
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.346316 5.104308 10.931875 24.392542 55.488609 125.652733 301.276522
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.111705 4.766674 10.593938 24.602651 58.365732 137.948622 346.679153
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.834537 4.286855 9.864883 23.788321 58.714279 144.507763 379.722392
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.596757 3.857274 9.178450 22.950854 58.857111 150.652671 413.379257
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.431846 3.573760 8.788895 22.778183 60.668265 161.445459 462.466581
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.308869 3.372934 8.567528 22.999620 63.584235 175.822379 525.539495
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.187507 3.155291 8.267098 22.956380 65.784029 188.766538 587.936689
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.117568 3.061737 8.275057 23.771688 70.624304 210.360809 683.009196
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.027610 2.897863 8.065787 23.928191 73.569447 227.057837 767.055217
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.917867 2.659294 7.608311 23.262609 73.865535 235.726319 826.713572